Amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, there is a temporary sense of relief worldwide. Donald Trump announced on Monday that he has ordered a 5-day pause on military strikes targeting Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure. According to Trump, the decision came after “very good” talks between the United States and Iran over the past two days, aimed at reducing tensions in the region. However, Iran claims that the US stepped back due to its strong warnings.
Iran’s Warning to the US
Reports from the Iranian embassy in Kabul and Iranian state media claim that Iran warned the US of serious consequences.
Iran reportedly said that if even a single missile hit its energy infrastructure, it would cause “irreparable damage” to oil and gas supply chains across the Middle East.
Why Did Trump Step Back?
According to Iranian media, Iran responded strongly to Trump’s earlier 48-hour ultimatum. It reportedly presented a plan for full-scale retaliation.
Iran threatened to shut down the Strait of Hormuz and target oil facilities of regional allies. Following this warning, the US administration is believed to have pulled back from immediate military action.
Putin’s Key Role in Mediation
Vladimir Putin is believed to have played a major role in this temporary ceasefire. While Trump described the talks as productive, diplomatic sources suggest Putin held multiple calls with leaders of the UAE, Qatar, and Iran over the past 48 hours.
Backchannel Talks and Mediation Efforts
According to the Kremlin, Putin acted as a mediator between Trump and Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian.
Russia reportedly warned the US that any attack on Iranian power infrastructure could escalate into a much larger global conflict. Putin also encouraged Iran to come to the negotiation table and assured the US that Iran might consider reopening the Strait of Hormuz for safe shipping.
Countries Involved in De-escalation
Several countries played a role in reducing tensions:
- Russia: Worked to balance US concerns and Iran’s security interests
- Qatar and UAE: Helped facilitate communication and hosted discussions
- India: Narendra Modi also discussed regional security with Iranian leadership, as mentioned in Iranian media
Economic Pressure Behind the Pause
One of the main reasons for the pause is the risk to the global economy. After threats of attacks on Iranian oil facilities, Brent Crude prices crossed $112 per barrel, while gas prices in Europe surged by 17%.
The US is aware that any major disruption in Gulf oil supplies could trigger inflation and economic instability.
What Happens Next?
The 5-day pause is being seen as a trial period for negotiations. Trump has made it clear that the halt in attacks will continue only if talks show progress.
If the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened for safe shipping during this period, the US may resume military action. For now, the next move depends on Tehran.
